January 26, 2012 ·37 Comments
The following piece is part of our continuous coverage on the upcoming conference on Somalia in the British capital. Our policy of encouraging free and open discussion of the issues or presentations of all facts and opinions is always open to all regardless of view/political affiliation or beliefs.
OPINION | JANUARY 26, 2012
By Ali Dhimbil “Burao”
In politics anything could happen, I think already pressure is mounting on Somaliland these days regarding how to unify the whole country as one entity. Considering a major conference is going to take place in London, on mid February. Both Europe and the United States are sending high level delegations to Hargeisa, in order to persuade Somaliland to join the talks in a more positive manner, instead of being politically-isolated. So, I think anything could happen, and there may be possibilities that Somaliland may join Somalia after all. When we analyze the whole situation I think the agenda coming from Europe, the US and the UN is as follows:
1. They want to see a unified government in Somalia where both Somalia and Somaliland will have a fair share of a newly-formed central government.
2. Possibly Somaliland will be given the lead role to form the new government, in order to make them happy.
3. They might propose a new constitution which will pave the way for Somaliland to go its own separate way should it be displeased with the union, provided they should go through referendum.
4. Possibly within ten-to-twenty years time-frame, if the marriage of Somalia and Somaliland doesn’t work out, Somaliland will have the option of leaving the union.
5. The international community would provide billions of loans and grants to rebuild the new unified government, which hopefully will create a viable new state which will benefit all Somalis concerned.
5. Terrorist elements like Al Shabab and maritime pirates should be eradicated by the new unified government with the help of international community as soon as possible.
I think these will be the main options that are already presented to both Somalia and Somaliland government. Already Somaliland government is discussing this scenario. Personally speaking, if these are what international government presenting to the Somaliland, I don’t really see it negative after all, rather may we should take, and give it a chance for a lasting peace in Somalia and Somaliland. After all, there’s no need to be so rigid about Somaliland, if you have a better deal.