Editorial

Somaliland – Planning for the next twenty years

May 18, 2011   ·   5 Comments

Somaliland youths stand outside ASAL printing to prepare for the 20th anniversdary of Independence Day (Abdiqani Baynah/Somalilandpress)

EDITORIAL: Somaliland – Planning for the next twenty years

As the twentieth anniversary of Somaliland becoming a self-proclaimed independent state nears there is good reason for a fair degree of satisfaction, but also need for reflection and a degree of caution. The 18th May 2011 will inevitably be marked by celebrations and as the de facto nation moves ever closer to international recognition confidence amongst Somalilanders will continue to grow. Somalis are by their very nature stoical individuals, with a deep sense of self reliance, but this anniversary is bound to trigger some negative reactions and must therefore be handled with dignity and I trust a lack of triumphalism.

To the seasoned observer of the Horn of Africa and of African Affairs in general, what has been achieved by the people of Somaliland is remarkable. After years of persecution and clan rivalry the region have largely managed to put historic enmities behind them and forge a means of survival that thus far has served the nation well. The horrors of Siad Barre years coupled with the internecine warfare that has torn Mogadishu and its environs apart has concentrated minds and served as a salutary lesson. The Somalis of the region have dug deep and discovered a capacity for co-operation, albeit grudging at times, that has seen them hold the country together these twenty years. The fact that last year Somaliland was able to hold a Presidential Election that passed off largely without incident and resulted in a peaceful transfer of power reveals something of the very best of Somalis and the remarkable resolve of Somalilanders. The last two decades has been a journey of discovery, possibly even of rediscovery, one that excites both admiration and envy in equal measure.

In planning for the next five to ten years Somaliland would do well to endeavour to reflect on where it is at. Peace is easily derailed and the picture is more complex than many are prepared to admit. In order to appraise the current situation it helps to apply certain management tools, my following S.W.O.T. analysis should certainly help concentrate minds:

STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
The extraordinary resolve of Somalilanders themselves. The fact that all Somalis have such a clear sense of who they are. A Ministerial structure that requires rationalisation in order to meet the needs of a Twenty First Century nation. To become a regional economic and technological hub harnessing solar power and utilising such energy to help improve agriculture, conserve vegetation and help train the workforce. The danger of future aid dependency and the potential for increased corruption that goes with it.
The continuing contribution played by the Diaspora both in development and investment. The Diaspora has already helped Somaliland to gain a more global perspective. A Judiciary that views an independent media with suspicion and is often reactionary in regards to cases related to press investigations into corruption. Somaliland on becoming a de jura state would make an ideal candidate for joining the Commonwealth and would then be able to access a wealth of support networks as well as increase its credibility and voice regionally and on the world stage. Underlying regional problems e.g. Sool Sanaag and Cayn.  Tensions with Puntland and the hostile attitude and rhetoric of certain figures in Mogadishu.
Historic clan rivalries. 

The machinations of regional neighbours.

Having English along with Somali and Arabic means that Somaliland is well placed to engage with potential trading partners. Inadequate safeguards for businesses seeking to invest in Somaliland.
Corporate Governance has yet to register and many organisations are made inefficient or ineffective by the scourge of nepotism.
Somaliland has an opportunity to follow Rwanda’s ‘Vision 2020’ model and thus become an oasis of stability and investment in the Horn of Africa. Water collection, storage and management threatens to cause further flight from rural areas to the cities. Climate predictions indicate increased erosion and further prolonged droughts that could cause civil unrest.
Somaliland has already forged a series of relationships with a variety of nations and has built up a bank of goodwill that it will be able to capitalise upon fully following international recognition. Absenteeism from education, especially amongst girls and children in rural communities. There is a direct correlation between a lack of schooling (especially to higher secondary level) and increased infant mortality. Literacy and numeracy levels warrant particular attention. To date Somaliland has still not taken full advantage of ports such as Berbera and there is considerable scope for the establishment of economic zones and tax havens to encourage enterprise and investment. Regional instability and potentially hostile regimes that are intent on keeping the Somali peoples weak.
Somaliland’s safety and security could also be undermined by inadequately trained armed forces, many of whom lack adequate education.
Somalilanders recognise the value of their heritage as Somalis, and the spiritual compass that Islam provides in their lives. Inspection, licensing and the marketing of products and services has yet to reach the standards expected by international clients. Tourism is an area that is largely untapped. The potential is considerable, but will warrant a co-ordinated strategy and better facilities, training and marketing. Increased activity from extremist groups such as Al Shabaab.
somaliland25s Somaliland – Planning for the next twenty years

Somaliland youths stand outside ASAL printing to prepare for the 20th anniversary of Independence Day (Abdiqani Baynah/Somalilandpress)

With the relative peace that exists has come a peace dividend, but whilst President Silanyo and previous leaders can take some of the credit for the progress that has to been made, both he and his ministers will be required to redouble their efforts if Somaliland is to really prosper. At present a number of the ministries lack real co-ordination and have yet to formulate a vision beyond a subsistence existence. Current demographic predictions will put an enormous strain on resources and no state can rely on or expect the international community and NGOs to be its safety net. Seasoned observers are aware that minimal progress has been made in regard to reducing pregnancy related mortality, whilst child protection barely registers as an issue. As for are for the care and treatment of the mentally ill, many of whom carry the mental scars of war and persecution, it is near non-existent. Policy makers and Legislative Leaders are desperately in need of training and this will require a willingness to be much more receptive and to learn anew.

Somaliland and the story of the Somali people is one of resilience and the desire to survive. Once the celebrations of 18th May are over it will be time to get back to the business of forging a nation. No one should underestimate the task that lies ahead, but Inshallah the resourcefulness and good humour of the Somalis will win through where ever they reside.

Mark T Jones

Somalilandpress | 17 May, 2011

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Readers Comments (5)

  1. Warsame Ahmed says:

    May Allah allow this country to develop and prosper, We ask allah to make us of those who are thankful when he bestows on us his blessings. Somaliland Hanoolato enjoy ur day pepole of soamliland and make dua for our Muslim brothers in Somalia as they are being trialed by allah aamin

    Somaliland Hanoolato,Somaliland Hanoolato ,Somaliland Hanoolato

     Reply
  2. Abraham says:

    Mark T Jones, your insight is amazing. I think president Silaanyo should sack the majority of his ministers starting with Gaboose and instead allow you to take all their places. I am sure you along with few sincere and educated assistants to help you can govern and develop Somaliland a lot better than the ministers we have now got. But first you should be given citizenship.

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  3. faisal says:

    God bless somaliland,,,, Happy 18 May,,, insha alaaah we will have joy-able 20 years to come.

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  4. Liban M Ali says:

    this is to mustaphe shiine. By rejecting Mark T 's ideas, You reject any chance of progess. People like yourself should never be left alone to run anything. Mark T was spot on time and again. We need people like him and less of people like you. I assume you live here in the west. Living comfortably and denying your people progress. If people like Mark T were running Somaliland. We would have been a developed nation within 20 year. I assume you oppose to him because He's not Somali. My friend let me tell you ideas have no nationality. you are either forward thinking or you're not. clearly you are not. you are incapable of thought. you are not a strategist, you lack political acumen and you are intellectually malnourished. It's embarrassing to listen to you.
    Liban M Ali

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  5. Abe says:

    A strong and free Somaliland is an oasis of fresh air in a rather polluted environ. The only way to protect the freedom of its citizen is to protect the rights of all. You can agree or disagree with Mark T,but please do not take away his in put, without a counter that is well thought out. Prosperity is full of hard work. You can not attain this without sacrifice ,vision,transparency and good governance. No country can prosper without strong and corrupt free leadership.Enough of the lecturing!! Its SALUTATION TIME; Congratulations Somaliland!!!! Lets not forget to pray for the rest of Somalia to stabilize. May God bless all the Somali people around the world and Long live Somaliland!!!

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